Central Michigan
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 73.3599Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Notre Dame ACC ( 6- 3, 91.3) 0-25 213 A Marquette Big East ( 5- 3, 83.9) 6-19 215 A Northwestern Big Ten ( 5- 3, 94.2) 2-25 220 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 7- 4, 81.2) 6-14 228 A Lindenwood Atlantic Sun ( 3- 5, 75.6) 9-15 306 A Michigan Big Ten ( 6- 2, 91.7) 3-23 308 A Butler Big East ( 3- 6, 71.9) 13- 9 314 H Robert Morris MAC ( 3- 5, 75.4) 7- 8 317 A Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 5, 79.9) 6-15 319 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 ( 6- 2, 87.4) 328 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0- 6, 63.7) 404 A Eastern Michigan MAC ( 6- 4, 77.2) 406 H Southern California Big Ten ( 6- 4, 85.1) 408 H Southern California Big Ten ( 6- 4, 85.1) 411 A Youngstown State MAC ( 0- 7, 70.2) 418 A Kent State MAC ( 5- 4, 75.0) 425 H Akron MAC ( 6- 2, 77.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Notre Dame 0-25 -25 -19 0.00
213 A Marquette 6-19 -13 -12 -1.14
215 A Northwestern 2-25 -23 -22 0.00
220 A Cincinnati 6-14 -8 -9 1.13
228 A Lindenwood 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.40
306 A Michigan 3-23 -20 -20 0.00
308 A Butler 13- 9 4 0 + 3.83
314 H Robert Morris 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.29
317 A Massachusetts-Lowell 6-15 -9 -8 -1.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Lindenwood 9-15 -6 -4 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Butler 13- 9 4 0 + 3.83 |
Central Michigan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Akron | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Akron | |
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| American | American | American | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Army | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Austin Peay | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Binghamton | Binghamton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Binghamton | |
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Boston College | |
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University | ||
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | Bryant | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Canisius | |
| Central Connecticut | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Davidson | Davidson | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Central Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Central Michigan | |
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Central Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Central Michigan | |
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Eastern Michigan | |
| Elon | Elon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elon | |
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida | |
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Furman | Furman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Furman | |
| Gardner Webb | Central Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Central Michigan | |
| George Mason | George Mason | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | George Mason | |
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Harvard | |
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Howard (DC) | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Iona | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | ||
| Kent State | Kent State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Kent State | |
| La Salle | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Le Moyne | Le Moyne | Le Moyne | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | Lehigh | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood | ||
| LIU | LIU | LIU | ||
| Longwood | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Central Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Central Michigan | |
| Marist | Marist | Marist | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Massachusetts | |
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Mercyhurst | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | ||
| Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Hampshire | |
| New Haven | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Niagara | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| Presbyterian | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Queens | Queens | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | ||
| Radford | Central Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Central Michigan | |
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | Rhode Island | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| Sacred Heart | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| San Diego State | San Diego State | San Diego State | ||
| Siena | Siena | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Siena | |
| South Florida | South Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Southern California | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Bonaventure | |
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stanford | |
| Stetson | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Stonehill | Stonehill | Stonehill | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Temple | Temple | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Temple | |
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UMBC | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| VCU | VCU | VCU | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| William & Mary | William & Mary | William & Mary | ||
| Winthrop | Winthrop | Winthrop | ||
| Wofford | Wofford | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Wofford | |
| Xavier | Xavier | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Xavier | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Youngstown State | Central Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Central Michigan |
PowerWise = 22
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Notre Dame ( 6- 3, 91.3) 0-25 -8.55 31.23 1.33 0.92 -3.31
0 A Marquette ( 5- 3, 83.9) 6-19 -16.01 23.77 1.33 0.92 -6.73
0 A Northwestern ( 5- 3, 94.2) 2-25 -5.74 34.04 1.33 0.92 -2.02
0 A Cincinnati ( 7- 4, 81.2) 6-14 -18.74 21.05 1.33 0.92 -7.98
0 A Lindenwood ( 3- 5, 75.6) 9-15 -24.27 15.51 1.33 0.92 -10.52
0 A Michigan ( 6- 2, 91.7) 3-23 -8.16 31.63 1.33 0.92 -3.13
0 A Butler ( 3- 6, 71.9) 13- 9 -28.04 11.74 1.33 0.92 23.99
0 H Robert Morris ( 3- 5, 75.4) 7- 8 -24.50 15.29 -1.33 0.92 -11.85
0 A Massachusetts- ( 4- 5, 79.9) 6-15 -20.01 19.77 1.33 0.92 -8.57
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-30.13
|
winning pts = 23.9873 losing points = -54.1145
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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